Week Thirteen Edition
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Last Week: 4-0 (1.000)
2017: 44-29-1 (.601)
*Total: 116-88-2 (.568)
*Total dates back to last season
Home team in italics
Michigan (+12) over #9 Ohio State
Ohio State is certainly the superior team, but I think Michigan can keep this game close. The Wolverines have one of the best defenses in the nation, as they rank 4th in opponent yards per play and have allowed the 3rd lowest opposing quarterback rating. I also think that 70% of the betting public is overrating the Buckeyes because they may already be looking ahead to the Big Ten Championship. Michigan will cover the 12-point spread in this rivalry game, but I’m not ballsy enough to pick them to win straight-up.
#3 Clemson (-13.5) over #24 South Carolina
This isn’t an easy matchup for Clemson considering it is on the road, but its defense is dominant enough to beat the Gamecocks relatively easily. South Carolina’s rushing attack is averaging just 4.0 yards per carry (83rd in the nation). Clemson’s rush defense, meanwhile, is 8th in the country. There will be too much pressure to bare on the Gamecocks’ offense — I just don’t see them scoring enough points.
#21 Stanford (+2.5) over #8 Notre Dame
Bryce Love III should lead the way for Stanford. He is second in the nation in rushing yards with 1,723; and considering how Notre Dame’s defense has tailed off in recent weeks — it has given up an average of 31.7 points over the past three weeks — I like the Cardinal to pull a minor upset at home.
#17 Washington (-10) over #13 Washington State
The Huskies won’t be returning to the College Football Playoff this season, but they still boast one of the country’s best defenses. Allowing just 4.1 yards per play, I’ll side with Washington’s defense over the Cougars’ air-attack in the Apple Cup.
Game of the Week
#1 Alabama (-4.5) over #6 Auburn
Auburn’s offense is outstanding. Led by running back Kerryon Johnson (1,172 rushing yards, 16 touchdowns), the Tigers have scored over 40 points in eight of their eleven games this season. But putting up points against teams like Missouri, Texas A&M, and even Georgia is one thing: having success against Alabama is another. Unsurprisingly, the Crimson Tide has the stingiest defense in the country, and let’s not sleep on Jalen Hurts and the ‘Bama offense, which is averaging nearly 40 points per game.
Nick Saban’s squad may be on the road in what should be an unbelievably hostile environment. But I doubt I will pick against Alabama this season under any circumstance.