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Spread Bet Saturday: Week Two Edition
Last Week: 4-2 (.667) Best Bets: 0-1 (.000) Upset Picks: 0-1 (.000)
*Overall: 131-97-2 (.574)
*Dates back to 2016 season
Green letters indicate pick with the spread
Marquee Matchups
#2 Clemson vs Texas A&M
Spread: Clemson -12 7:00 ET ESPN Football Power Index: CLEM (2) > TAM (15) Public: Clemson 56%
Surely the Aggies are looking to make a statement in their first big game of the Jimbo Fischer era. Yet while I normally love to bet on home underdogs, I think it will be too tough a task for Texas A&M to hang around with Clemson. The Tigers have an exceptional front seven that ranked 2nd in the nation last season in opponent yards per play, so I doubt freshman quarterback Kelly Mond will fare well with Christian Wilkins and company bearing down on him.
Clemson 31 Texas A&M 17
#3 Georgia vs #24 South Carolina
Spread: Georgia -10 3:30 ET CBS FPI: GEO (7) > SC (28) Public: South Carolina 51%
Now here is where I love to bet on home underdogs. Conference matchup, big spread, rowdy atmosphere. Plus, South Carolina quarterback Jake Bentley is an experienced signal-caller who might be able to expose a Georgia defense that is still adjusting to the loss of linebacker Roquan Smith and others to the NFL Draft.
Jake Fromm and the Bulldogs will manage to escape with a win, though.
Georgia 34 South Carolina 27
#17 USC vs #10 Stanford
Spread: Stanford -6 8:30 ET FOX FPI: USC (18) < STAN (10) Public: Stanford 72%
Trojan true freshman J.T. Daniels was impressive in his debut at quarterback last week (282 yards, 1 touchdown). But the Cardinal will provide more resistance than last week’s opponent, UNLV. Though Stanford doesn’t have much of a home-field advantage, I like running back Bryce Love to bounce back after a quiet week one (18 carries, 29 yards) and lead his team to victory.
Stanford 34 USC 20
Best Bet
#13 Penn State bounces back with a resounding win over Pittsburgh
Spread: Penn State -7.5 8:00 ET ABC FPI: PSU (12) > PITT (58) Public: Penn State 53%
The Nittany Lions nearly saw their season go up in smoke last week against Appalachian State. Nonetheless, they managed to escape with the win thanks to a late game-tying drive engineered by quarterback Trace McSorley.
Look for McSorley to have a huge game this weekend going up against a Pitt defense that ranks 89th according to FPI.
Penn State 41 Pittsburgh 21
Upset Pick of the Week
Herm Edwards notches his first big win at Arizona State by upsetting #15 Michigan State
Spread: Michigan State -6.5 10:45 ET ESPN FPI: MSU (13) > ASU (41) Public: Arizona State 64%
The Spartans looked very shaky last week, as they needed a go-ahead touchdown with two minutes to go in order to beat lowly Utah State. Michigan State has also won only one of its past ten road games against Power Five teams. None of this bodes well as they head to Tempe, which is why I like the Sun Devils to earn their first noteworthy victory of the Herm Edwards era.
Arizona State 34 Michigan State 30
Texas A&M almost pulled it off! They deserved to win that game. Mucho talent. Going to be an exciting year in college football.