8 Players Who Will (Probably) be Moved by the MLB Trade Deadline

With the MLB trade deadline less than a month away, it’s time to look at the players who will most likely be on the move. Last season provided evidence of how teams, through a trade or two, can completely alter the course of their season and ride their acquisitions all the way to the fifth game of the World Series (the Mets and Cespedes). This year may be no different. For the sake of simplicity, I’m outlining only players the will be free agents come season’s end, so some of the bigger names mentioned by the media as possible trade candidates, such as Ryan Braun and Julio Tehran, will not be found in this list.



Rich Hill, SP (OAK), 2016 Contract= $6 million

The good:

  • 2.31 ERA, 2.72 FIP in 70 innings pitched.
  • 10.3 strikeouts per 9 innings (K/9).

The bad:

  • 3.76 xFIP- which shows his ERA may go up by at least a run in the second half of the season because he will likely give up more homeruns, especially if he’s traded to a team with a hitter’s park.
  • 3.34 walks per 9 innings (MLB average for SP is 2.97)
  • He’s 36, a journeyman, and is he really that good?

Possible suitors: Texas, Boston, Baltimore


Jeremy Hellickson, SP (PHI), 2016= $7 million

The good:

  • 3.92 ERA, 3.90 xFIP in 105.2 innings
  • Average strikeout and walk rates: 7.92 K/9, 2.30 BB/9
  • Solid 4 or 5 starter

The bad:

  • 4 or 5 starter, nothing more
  • innings eater that doesn’t eat innings (never thrown 190 innings/season)
  • injury prone last two years

Suitors: see Hill, Rich


Andrew Cashner, SP (SDP), 2016= $7.15 million

The good:

  • throws hard? 93.8 average fastball velocity
  • 2 years removed from a 2.55 ERA, 3.05 FIP season (I’m really stretching)

The bad:

  • below average K and BB rates (6.41 and 3.66)- especially alarming for a guy who has plus stuff
  • #2 starter in San Diego, #5 starter anywhere else
  • has all of these numbers despite pitching in extreme pitcher-friendly park

Suitors: see Hill, Rich; Hellickson, Jeremy


Aroldis Chapman, RP (NYY), 2016= $11.3 million

The good:

  • this
  • 13.5 K/9, 1.64 BB/9
  • 2.86 ERA, 1.90 FIP
  • 16-17 in save opportunities

The bad:

  • Other than the high price tag, not much. And even then, the Yankees have the capability of paying some of his salary in return for prospects

Suitors: Texas, Cleveland, Detroit



Steve Pearce, 1B/OF (TB), 2016= $4.7M

The good:

  • .322/.393/.540 in 196 plate appearances
  • 152 wRC+
  • versatile- can play OF, 1B, 2B

The bad:

  • Other than this half-season, he’s had one other good year (2014). He’s 33.
  • While he plays multiple position, he really only plays one position well (1B).

Suitors: Washington, Texas, Houston


Jonathan Lucroy, C (MIL), 2016= $4M, 2017= $5.25M team option

The good:

  • extremely team-friendly salary and option
  • .302/.359/.484 in 315 PA
  • 2.2 WAR (3rd highest amongst catchers)

The bad:

  • With a name like Lucroy, the only negative is that you’re probably going to have to give up a small fortune to get him

Suitors: Boston, Cleveland, Detroit


Josh Reddick, OF (OAK). 2016= $6.58M

The good:

  • .303/.382/.434 in 199 PA
  • 119 wRC+
  • has put up these numbers despite playing in a extreme pitcher-friendly home park
  • this

The bad:

  • I don’t have many bad things to say here. Just that he’s a career .255/.316/.435 hitter, and not a whole lot better than a 5th or 6th hitter on a contending team.

Suitors: Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers, Kansas City


Gordan Beckham, 2B (ATL), 2016= $1.25M

The good:

  • .284/.382/.442 in 110 PA
  • 126 wRC+
  • A lot of the teams that need second basemen really need second basemen. Take a look at each team’s second basemen ranked by OPS.

The bad:

  • he’s been on the DL for the past month, so will have to prove that his numbers in a small-ish sample size aren’t a fluke
  • his numbers very well may be a fluke (he’s a career .244/.307/.374 hitter)
  • an average fielder: has a -0.3 UZR at 2B over his career (cost his team 0.3 runs)

Suitors: Toronto, Pittsburgh, Kansas City

Posted by Jeb

From the great "vacationland" state of Maine. Former D3 baseball player on an underachieving team. Prior: TrackMan with A's. Current: Check Down Sports. Soon: Video with Reds. All-time facial hair lover.

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